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Causal validation method for multivariate regression models

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Published April 2nd, 2026
Detected April 2nd, 2026
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Summary

USPTO published patent application US20260094172A1 for a causal validation method for multivariate regression models. Inventors Tilman Drerup, Steven Ji, and Toban Wiebe filed the application on September 27, 2024, covering a method to evaluate causal generalizability of models such as marketing mix models. The publication appeared on April 2, 2026.

What changed

USPTO published patent application US20260094172A1 for a causal validation method for multivariate regression models. The invention addresses evaluation of causal generalizability in regression models (such as marketing mix models) that assess multiple input features with high correlation and confounding causality. The method involves training a model architecture using training data excluding experimental data, applying the trained model to predict outcomes from experimental inputs, and scoring predictions against experimental outcomes. This process may be repeated across multiple experiments to evaluate how the model architecture generalizes to different variations.

This is a patent publication rather than a regulatory requirement, so no compliance actions are required from companies. Technology companies developing multivariate regression models, particularly marketing mix models, may wish to review this methodology for potential licensing considerations or competitive awareness. The patent covers CPC classification G06Q 30/0201 (business methods) and does not impose any regulatory obligations.

Source document (simplified)

← USPTO Patent Applications

CAUSAL VALIDATION OF MULTIVARIATE REGRESSION MODELS

Application US20260094172A1 Kind: A1 Apr 02, 2026

Inventors

Tilman Drerup, Steven Ji, Toban Wiebe

Abstract

To evaluate the causal generalizability of multivariate regression models (such as marketing mix models) that evaluate a plurality of input features that may have high correlation and confounding causality, a model architecture is evaluated with respect to experimental data that varies feature values. The model architecture is trained with training data that excludes the experimental data. The trained model is then applied to predict the outcome of the experimental data inputs and the predicted outcome is scored with respect to the experimental outcome. This may be repeated across more than one experiment to evaluate how the model architecture generalizes to different types of variations in different experiments. The scores may then be used to validate the causal predictions and select or confirm a model architecture for use.

CPC Classifications

G06Q 30/0201

Filing Date

2024-09-27

Application No.

18900463

View original document →

Named provisions

Causal Validation Method Multivariate Regression Models Marketing Mix Models Experimental Data Evaluation

Classification

Agency
USPTO
Published
April 2nd, 2026
Instrument
Notice
Legal weight
Non-binding
Stage
Final
Change scope
Substantive
Document ID
US20260094172A1

Who this affects

Applies to
Technology companies
Industry sector
5112 Software & Technology 3341 Computer & Electronics Manufacturing 5222 Fintech & Digital Payments
Activity scope
Patent Applications Model Validation Machine Learning
Geographic scope
United States US

Taxonomy

Primary area
Technology
Operational domain
Legal
Topics
Artificial Intelligence Financial Services

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