Causal validation method for multivariate regression models
Summary
USPTO published patent application US20260094172A1 for a causal validation method for multivariate regression models. Inventors Tilman Drerup, Steven Ji, and Toban Wiebe filed the application on September 27, 2024, covering a method to evaluate causal generalizability of models such as marketing mix models. The publication appeared on April 2, 2026.
What changed
USPTO published patent application US20260094172A1 for a causal validation method for multivariate regression models. The invention addresses evaluation of causal generalizability in regression models (such as marketing mix models) that assess multiple input features with high correlation and confounding causality. The method involves training a model architecture using training data excluding experimental data, applying the trained model to predict outcomes from experimental inputs, and scoring predictions against experimental outcomes. This process may be repeated across multiple experiments to evaluate how the model architecture generalizes to different variations.
This is a patent publication rather than a regulatory requirement, so no compliance actions are required from companies. Technology companies developing multivariate regression models, particularly marketing mix models, may wish to review this methodology for potential licensing considerations or competitive awareness. The patent covers CPC classification G06Q 30/0201 (business methods) and does not impose any regulatory obligations.
Source document (simplified)
CAUSAL VALIDATION OF MULTIVARIATE REGRESSION MODELS
Application US20260094172A1 Kind: A1 Apr 02, 2026
Inventors
Tilman Drerup, Steven Ji, Toban Wiebe
Abstract
To evaluate the causal generalizability of multivariate regression models (such as marketing mix models) that evaluate a plurality of input features that may have high correlation and confounding causality, a model architecture is evaluated with respect to experimental data that varies feature values. The model architecture is trained with training data that excludes the experimental data. The trained model is then applied to predict the outcome of the experimental data inputs and the predicted outcome is scored with respect to the experimental outcome. This may be repeated across more than one experiment to evaluate how the model architecture generalizes to different types of variations in different experiments. The scores may then be used to validate the causal predictions and select or confirm a model architecture for use.
CPC Classifications
G06Q 30/0201
Filing Date
2024-09-27
Application No.
18900463
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