How Changes in Economic Conditions Might Affect the Federal Budget: 2026 to 2036

CBO published an analytical report examining the sensitivity of federal budget projections to changes in key economic variables, covering the 2026 to 2036 period. The publication includes a standalone report, a PDF summary, and an interactive web-based tool allowing users to model how different economic scenarios would affect revenues, outlays, and deficits.

This publication creates no compliance obligations for any regulated entities. It serves as an informational and analytical resource for policymakers, budget analysts, and researchers studying federal fiscal projections. Entities seeking to understand potential federal revenue and spending variability under different economic conditions may find the interactive tool useful for scenario planning, but no regulatory response is required.