Changeflow GovPing Securities & Investments CSA and CIRO Remind Industry of Prediction Mark...
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CSA and CIRO Remind Industry of Prediction Market and Event Contract Rules

Favicon for nssc.novascotia.ca Nova Scotia Securities Commission
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Summary

The Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) and Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) issued a joint notice reminding industry participants and investors that trading or facilitating trading in prediction market event contracts that constitute securities or derivatives requires compliance with applicable registration, recognition, and other requirements under Canadian securities and derivatives legislation. Two CIRO members have been authorized to facilitate Canadian client access to event contracts on foreign prediction markets under specific terms and conditions. No prediction market has yet been recognized as an exchange or registered as a dealer in Canada.

What changed

CSA and CIRO issued a joint notice confirming that prediction markets and event contracts that qualify as securities or derivatives are subject to existing Canadian regulatory requirements including registration, recognition, and in some jurisdictions, binary options prohibitions under Multilateral Instrument 91-102. The notice clarifies that two CIRO dealer members are currently authorized to provide Canadian client access to event contracts on foreign prediction markets under terms and conditions set by CIRO in consultation with CSA. No prediction market has been recognized as an exchange or registered as a dealer in any CSA jurisdiction.

Dealers and other industry participants considering involvement in prediction market products should verify their compliance obligations before proceeding, as failure to comply with applicable securities and derivatives laws may result in enforcement action. Regulators indicate ongoing review of terms and conditions and potential issuance of further guidance or additional regulatory measures in this area.

What to do next

  1. Review applicable securities and derivatives registration and recognition requirements before trading or facilitating trading in event contracts
  2. Contact local CSA member and CIRO before engaging in prediction market activities with Canadian investors

Archived snapshot

Apr 16, 2026

GovPing captured this document from the original source. If the source has since changed or been removed, this is the text as it existed at that time.

For Immediate Release April 2, 2026 Prediction markets: CSA and CIRO remind industry and investors of the current rules MONTRÉAL - Given the growing interest in prediction markets in Canada, the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) and the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) want industry and investors to be aware of the applicable requirements governing prediction markets and event contracts (also known as prediction contracts and forecast contracts). Prediction markets are platforms that facilitate trading of event contracts, which pay out based on the outcomes of future events. Anyone trading, or facilitating trading, in event contracts which are securities or derivatives, must follow applicable requirements under securities or derivatives legislation, such as registration or recognition requirements. For instance, in some CSA jurisdictions, Multilateral Instrument 91-102 Prohibition of

Binary Options prohibits any person from advertising, offering, selling or otherwise trading a binary

option having a term to maturity of less than 30 days, with or to an individual. Failure to comply with applicable requirements under Canadian securities and derivatives laws may lead to enforcement action. On March 26, 2026, CIRO published a bulletin, Application of CIRO Requirements to Event Contracts. At present, two CIRO members have been authorized to facilitate Canadian client access to event contracts, including contracts executed on foreign regulated prediction markets. Facilitating trading of event contracts by CIRO dealer members is subject to certain terms and conditions imposed by CIRO, in consultation with CSA members, which relate to what types of products may be offered to Canadian clients and how these products may be traded. The CSA and CIRO continue to review these terms and conditions, which may be subject to change for these dealer members and/or any others in the future. While these CIRO members may facilitate Canadian client access to event contracts, traded on non- Canadian markets, to date, no prediction market has been recognized as an exchange or registered as a dealer (or exempted from those requirements) by the CSA. The CSA and CIRO continue to monitor developments involving prediction markets and event contracts and intend to issue further guidance on how securities or derivatives legislation applies to them. Due to

regulators' ongoing concerns around prediction markets, the CSA and CIRO will also consider whether

other regulatory action is required, including changes to the terms and conditions in the above-mentioned CIRO bulletin. Any industry participant interested in trading, or facilitating trading, in event contracts with Canadian investors, should contact their local CSA member and CIRO before doing so.

The CSA, the council of the securities regulators of Canada's provinces and territories, coordinates and

harmonizes regulation for the Canadian capital markets.

The Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) is the pan-Canadian self-regulatory

organization that oversees all investment dealers, mutual fund dealers and trading activity on Canada's

debt and equity marketplaces. CIRO is committed to the protection of investors, providing efficient and

consistent regulation, and building Canadians' trust in financial regulation and the people managing their investments. For more information, visit www.ciro.ca.

For media inquiries, please contact: Ilana Kelemen Canadian Securities Administrators media@acvm-csa.ca Joanna Nicholson Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization jnicholson@ciro.ca For investor inquiries, please contact your local securities regulator.

Named provisions

Multilateral Instrument 91-102 Prohibition of Binary Options

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What's from the agency?

Source document text, dates, docket IDs, and authority are extracted directly from CSA / CIRO.

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The summary, classification, recommended actions, deadlines, and penalty information are AI-generated from the original text and may contain errors. Always verify against the source document.

Last updated

Classification

Agency
CSA / CIRO
Published
April 2nd, 2026
Instrument
Notice
Legal weight
Non-binding
Stage
Final
Change scope
Minor

Who this affects

Applies to
Broker-dealers Investors
Industry sector
5231 Securities & Investments
Activity scope
Securities trading Derivatives trading Prediction market operations
Geographic scope
Canada CA

Taxonomy

Primary area
Securities
Operational domain
Legal
Topics
Financial Services Derivatives

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