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UK Climate Protest Criminalisation Increases Activist Determination, Study Finds

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Summary

A study published in Nature Climate Change found that criminalisation of climate protesters in the UK is counterproductive and increases activist determination to undertake disruptive demonstrations. The research surveyed 1,375 members of an Extinction Rebellion mailing list and found that those who had been jailed, fined, arrested or surveilled were less fearful of taking part in future disruptive actions. The study found that 17% of all climate protests in the UK between 2019 and 2024 resulted in arrests, compared with an international average of 6.3%.

“Those who had already been jailed, fined, arrested or surveilled said they were less fearful of taking part in future disruptive actions.”

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What changed

This Guardian article reports on research published in Nature Climate Change regarding the effectiveness of criminalising climate protesters in the UK. The study found that arrests, fines, imprisonment, and surveillance of nonviolent climate activists paradoxically increased their determination to engage in future disruptive actions rather than deterring them.

For civil liberties advocates, environmental groups, and policymakers reviewing protest regulation, the study suggests that aggressive enforcement against climate protesters may backfire by radicalising previously moderate activists and potentially driving them toward more covert forms of action such as sabotage. The findings indicate that contempt for state authority, rather than fear, becomes the dominant emotional response among those subjected to repression.

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Apr 27, 2026

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A handcuffed climate activist. The study found those who had been jailed, fined or arrested were less fearful of taking part in future disruption. Photograph: Daniel Leal/AFP/Getty Images

A handcuffed climate activist. The study found those who had been jailed, fined or arrested were less fearful of taking part in future disruption. Photograph: Daniel Leal/AFP/Getty Images

Environmental activism

Criminalisation of climate protesters in UK is counterproductive, research finds

Study of 1,300 campaigners finds arrests, fines and jail terms increase determination of activists to take direct action

Damian Carrington Environment editor Sat 25 Apr 2026 05.00 EDT Share Prefer the Guardian on Google

The criminalisation of direct action climate protests in the UK is counterproductive and increases the determination of activists to undertake disruptive demonstrations, according to a study of 1,300 campaigners.

New findings suggest arrests, fines and lengthy prison sentences given to nonviolent climate protesters who have blocked roads or damaged buildings may actually radicalise them. The repression of protest could even be one driver of recent covert actions such as the cutting of internet cables, they said.

Previous research found conflicting results on the impact of repression on protesters, some suggesting it deterred further action and some indicating it encouraged it. The new work found the emotional response of the activists determined their reactions to repression they experienced or anticipated experiencing.

Those who had already been jailed, fined, arrested or surveilled said they were less fearful of taking part in future disruptive actions. The campaigners who had not experienced repression fell into two broad groups. Those who felt anger or contempt about the prospect of repression were galvanised and had stronger intentions to take part in future. Those in whom the idea of repression increased fear had weakened intentions.

The UK government has cracked down on climate protesters in recent years. Some were jailed for four years for planning to block a motorway and have been denied the ability to put a “reasonable excuse” defence or climate facts before a jury.

The UN special rapporteur for human rights defenders, Mary Lawlor, recently accused the UK, US and other governments of paying lip service to climate goals while criminalising activists. Research has found that 17% of all climate protests between 2019 and 2024 resulted in arrests, compared with an international average of 6.3%.

“These kinds of actions are counterproductive as they alienate people from the state,” said Dr Nicole Tausch, at the University of St Andrews and part of the study team. “The emotion of contempt is really indicative of that. When people start to feel contempt, they tend to feel they don’t have to comply to the norms and rules any more. [Repression] might actually radicalise people – if you don’t give people the legitimate route to express their discontent, then they will find other routes.”

Tausch, who has studied protest in highly repressive situations in Russia, Hong Kong and Egypt, added: “This really mobilises people. It creates a shared identity, a shared fate, a moral obligation to act. This is not going to undermine protest.”

Sunniva Davies-Rommetveit, also at the University of St Andrews and part of the team, said: “We’re also starting to see different kinds of actions, sabotage for example. [Repression] may possibly be turning people towards more covert types of actions.”

‘A new phase’: why climate activists are turning to sabotage instead of protest Read more

A Home Office spokesperson said: “The right to lawful protest is fundamental to our democracy. However, protests should not cross the line from peaceful demonstration to serious disruption. Existing laws give the police robust powers to manage protests and prevent serious disorder, disruption or intimidation, while protecting the right to peaceful protest.”

The research, published in the journal Nature Climate Change, used anonymous surveys completed by 1,375 members of an Extinction Rebellion mailing list.

The largest impact was reported by those who had experienced repression. “It was very striking,” said Davies-Rommetveit. “They feel less fearful and therefore more likely to intend to act disruptively in the future.”

She added: “Policymakers listening to climate activists is probably a good idea, especially as the climate crisis is worsening. Our findings suggest there’s definitely frustration with the way the system is dealing with protest at the moment.”

A 2023 opinion poll commissioned by the University of Bristol found 68% of the British public disapproved of the disruptive protest group Just Stop Oil, which had blocked roads and interrupted sports events. However, only 29% thought imprisonment was the most appropriate punishment for people who participate in disruptive, non-violent protest, while a fine was seen as most appropriate by 37% and 15% thought such activists should not receive any punishment.

Ministers have commissioned an independent review of public order and hate crime legislation, which is considering whether it is “fit for purpose” and “strikes a fair balance between freedom of expression and the right to protest with the need to prevent disorder and keep communities safe”. It is expected to be published shortly.

Explore more on these topics
- Environmental activism
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- Climate crisis
- Psychology
- Just Stop Oil
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Last updated

Classification

Agency
Guardian
Published
April 25th, 2026
Instrument
Notice
Branch
Executive
Legal weight
Non-binding
Stage
Final
Change scope
Minor

Who this affects

Applies to
Nonprofits Legal professionals Government agencies
Industry sector
9211 Government & Public Administration
Activity scope
Protest regulation Activist enforcement
Geographic scope
United Kingdom GB

Taxonomy

Primary area
Civil Rights
Operational domain
Legal
Topics
Environmental Protection Criminal Justice

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