Cyber Outages Disrupt Repo Market, Costing $100B
Summary
A working paper published by the Office of Financial Research indicates that cyber-induced operational outages can disrupt the U.S. repurchase agreements (repo) market, potentially costing over $100 billion in funding and raising rates by over 50 basis points. The study highlights the importance of cybersecurity preparedness and institutional resilience.
What changed
This working paper from the Office of Financial Research (OFR) analyzes the impact of cyber-induced operational outages on the U.S. repurchase agreements (repo) market. Using transaction-level data and cybersecurity ratings, the study simulates disruptions to key cash lenders, finding that such outages can disrupt over $100 billion in funding and increase repo rates by more than 50 basis points. The severity is sensitive to outage timing and duration, emphasizing the need for robust cybersecurity and institutional resilience.
The findings underscore the critical need for financial institutions, particularly those involved in short-term funding markets like repo, to enhance their cybersecurity preparedness and operational resilience. While this is a research paper and not a regulatory rule, it provides a framework for assessing cyber threats and their potential impact on market stability. Compliance officers should review their institution's cybersecurity posture and contingency plans in light of these findings, as disruptions can lead to significant financial losses and market volatility.
What to do next
- Review institutional cybersecurity preparedness and operational resilience plans.
- Assess potential impact of cyber outages on short-term funding markets.
- Incorporate findings into risk management frameworks and stress testing scenarios.
Source document (simplified)
Short Circuiting Short-Term Funding
By R. Jay Kahn, Neth Karunamuni, and Mark Paddrik
Published: February 10, 2026
Abstract
Cyber-induced operational outages can affect the U.S. repurchase agreements (repo) market. Using transaction-level data and institutional cybersecurity ratings, we simulate disruptions to key cash lenders. Our findings indicate that outages at certain institutions can disrupt over $100 billion in funding and raise rates for repo by over 50 basis points. The severity of these disruptions are sensitive to outage timing and duration, with peak settlement times and slower recoveries amplify stress. The results underscore the importance of both cybersecurity preparedness and institutional resilience in limiting financial market disruptions. This study links cyber risk to intraday funding dynamics and rate volatility and offers a framework for assessing and mitigating cyber threats in core funding markets.
Keywords: Cybersecurity, Cyber Resiliency, Repo, Operational Risk, Stress Testing
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